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Monday, August 29, 2011

See You At Peelers Goes for Number 23

See You at Peelers goes for win number twenty-three in today's $193,150 Nadia Lobell and for this race she gets blessed with post position nine.  Does she get beat?  If she's fit and well, probably not.  However, when draw the furthest post out, it means there is more opportunities for something to go wrong.  I realize with serious gamblers, this race will not get the play it should with a 35% rake on the Trifecta, so most of the serious play will be on the Exacta.  Of course, you can always look for that upset, realizing you are likely going to loose so if you are going for the upset, you better be getting a good price.

Here is my selections for The Nadia Lobell.
The Meadows 9th Pace - $193,150; The Nadia Lobell - 3yo Fillies
1 - Some Girls Do (Palone, 6-1) - Can never dismiss Palone; with the rail is a live one.
2 - Idyllic (D Miller, 4-1) - Last was disappointing.  Hopefully will bounce back.
3 - Swinging Beauty (McNair, 10-1) - Last effort was a big mile. Should land in number.  Our longshot?
4 - Pretty Katherine (Tetrick, 3-1) - Don't understand the odds.  Can't dismiss, but doesn't inspire me.
5 - Foxy Lady (Gingras, 20-1) - Second tier horse well over her head.
6 - Rocklamation (B Miller, 12-1) - Another one looking for a long day.
7 - Ms Malicious (Ledford, 20-1) - Wouldn't put this one at 20-1 but admittedly will be lucky to get in exotics.
8 - Myluvmylife (Sears, 12-1) - NJSS Champion races well from outside.  Chasing Peelers?
9 - See You At Peelers (Johansson, 2-1) - The one to beat.  Hers to lose.
Selections: 9-8-3
Longshot Play: 3

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