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Monday, August 1, 2011

Battle of Waterloo

Grand River Raceway in Canada has an excellent racing card today highlighted by the $300,000 Battle of Waterloo for 2yo Colts and Geldings.  At this time of the year, two year olds can still be a bit of a risk proposition but this is a race worth looking at, if nothing else to see what top 2yos pacers may be coming from Canada later in the year down to the United States.

The big horse in this race is Warrawee Needy who is a prohibitive 1-5 selection.  So far he is a perfect 6 for 6, but do you take a 2yo at 1-5?  The goal is to see if there is anyone realistic who has a chance against Warrawee Needy.

Here is my analysis of the race:

Monday (8/1) - Grand River 9th Pace - $300,000; Battle of Waterloo Final
  1 - Two Guts (R Zeron, 20-1) - Showed some promise early at Mohawk.  Can he regain some of that early showing?
  2 - Red Carpet Due (R Waples, 20-1) - Beat out the #1 in eliminations, doesn;t seem like up to this.
  3 - Machal Angelo (J R Plante, 12-1) - Showed some good effort in elim with horrible trip.  Possibility.
  4 - Machapelo (S Zeron, 15-1) - Has been thrashed by top choice thus far.  Pass.
  5 - Warrawee Needy (C Jamieson, 1-5) - Perfect 6-6.  Pne elim by 13.  One to beat but at 1-5?
  6 - Winbak Warrior (J Macdonald, 12-1) - Won elim but gets pushed outside.  Lands share.
  7 - Czar Seelster (M Macdonald, 10-1) - Horrible trip when in against favorite.  May rebound some.
  8 - Coach Cal (A Byron , 40-1) - Winless so far.  Would be a shocker..
  9 - Secretoftheknight (D Mcnair, 15-1) - Distant second to top choice but moves outside.
10 - Fenian Hanover (C Christoforou, AE) - Could be interesting if draws in.
11 - Jettison (Paul MacDonnell, AE) - Shares at best if draws in.
Selections: 10(AE) - 3-5-1-6

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