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Thursday, January 26, 2012

Field Set for the Prix d' Amerique - Analysis and Selections

The field is set for the 92nd edition of the Prix d' Amerique at Vincennes-Paris.  As expected, a full field of 18 horses have declared for the race.  At this time, there is no indication 4NJBETS will be offering wagering (but we will continue to check), but for those who will have the ability to wager, here is the field and my analysis (any times listed are in kilometer rates).

Update: Wagering on the Prix d' Amerique is being offered by 4NJBETS.  The entire card is being offered but no video for the early races.

  1- Royal Dream (FR) – Jean-Philippe Dubois  The obvious horse.  Winner of last three races.  Does well on the vault start.  But a little suspect at the distance.  If you are shopping for odds, you will skip this one; especially in this overflow field.

  2- The Best Madrik (FR) – Jean-Etienne Dubois   Came up empty first race of the year.  Seems to have tailed off since September when racing easier company.  

  3- Roxane Griff (FR) – Eric Raffin   Loves this track.  While wins are few, finishes 2nd or 3rd often.  Timed in a 2850 meters race in 1'13"4 and 2700 meters at 1'13"0.  A trip can put him in the winners circle.

  4- Noras Bean – Stefan Söderkvist     Last victory at this distance came in Sweden, racing at Axevalla.  May find this a tougher bunch.

  5- Punchy (FR) – Jean Boillereau   Wins have been coming at smaller tracks.  This bunch may be much harder.

  6- Sévérino (FR) – Christian Bigeon  Won the Prix Tenor de Baune at the race distance of 2,700 meters in a kilometer rate of 1'12"9 and has occasionally had victories on the vault.  Outsider, but can't be eliminated.

  7- Main Wise As (FR) – Pierre Levesque   Seems to be able to handle the vault start but has not faired well at this race's distance.  Pass

  8- Private Love (FR) – Matthieu Abrivard  Realistically a monte horse.  Don't see in here.

  9- Quif de Villeneuve (FR) – Franck Leblanc    This son of Coktail Jet won last week's monte race, the Prix De Cornulier, earning the start in this race.  However, this horse is just as good in the sulky.  This mare is dangerous with no problem with the autostart.  Ignore at your peril. 

10- Save The Quick (FR)  – Jean-Michel Bazire  Finished second last week in the Prix De Cornulier.  Loves the standing start but best efforts are in monte races.  Does pick up a good driver in Bazire and this seems to be a good distance for the horse.  Not out of it.

11- Iceland (SE) – Bjorn Goop   Owned by Stefan Merlander, has not had a good season at Vincennes.  Last victory using a vault start was on October 22 in Sweden in a rate of 1'1"9.  Does pick up a big driver change with Bjorn Goop.  Because of the driver change, will not disregard.

12- Timoko (FR) – Richard Westerink    A logical pick to win it all.  May not be the fastest but consistently in the top two.  Loves Vincennes and won on Christmas day the Criterium Continental.  Best time at this distance is 1'12"0.

13- Perlando (FR) – Jos Verbeeck   Winner of last start in Holland and always seems to be put in a good effort.  However, best efforts come in autostart races; vault is a disadvantage.  But distance seems to be favorable.  If looking for a longshot, may be worth looking at.  Lifetime record of 1'10"7.

14- Orlando Sport (FR) – Sébastien Baude   A rank outsider.  Disqualified in last race at Vincennes and unplaced in prior start.  Last victory in Canes back on March 18, 2011 in a race with a starting gate, winning in 1'14"3.  I think one to easily dismiss.

15- Lisa America (FR) – Dominik Locqueneux  The often talked about Lisa America owned by Lou Guida.  Best efforts at Vincennes comes back in 2010.  Finished seventh in the Prix de Belgique being race timed in 1'13"4, but finished 3rd in the Prix de Bretange where she completed the 2700 meters in 1'13"6.  Seems to be able to handle the vault start.

16- Maharajah (SE)– Örjan Kihlström   This Swedish horse gives his best performance at Vincennes.  Finished fourth in the Prix de Belgique behind Royal Dream and Ready Cash.  Has a lifetime mark of 1'10"3 with a timing of 1'13"0 in the last race.  A contender but has not lived up to his early reputation.
  
17- Oyonnax (FR) – Yves Dreux   Definite outsider, but was the same when he won the Prix d' Amerique last time.  First start this year was in the Prix de Cornulier, a monte race won by Quif de Villeneuve.  His record before that monte race was less than inspiring. If anything can be said positive for Oyonnax is he is at his best with the vault starts.  Lifetime mark of 1'10"1 with last sulky race coming in with a kilometer mark of 1'11"6.  Last race at this distance he finished in 1'12"4.

18- Ready Cash (FR) – Franck Nivard    Has been on a tear of late, winning three races straight before finishing 3rd in his last start, losing to Royal Dream who draws post #1. Last race was at 2,875 meters, but did win at the Prix's 2,700 meters distance.  Record time is 1'10"3.  Last race was 1'10"6.

Selections: 3-12-9

Horse Rescue United has a decent part performance pages for the Prix only.
Thank you to http://www.zone-turf.fr/ for providing me with information to do my analysis.

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