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Friday, November 21, 2014

Saturday Breeders Crown Analysis

Continuing on yesterday's theme, here are my selections for Saturday's Breeders Crown events.

4th - $500,000 Trot - Breeders Crown 2yo Colts and Geldings
1 - French Laundry -  Draws well off elim victory.  However, not top Takter entrant.
2 - Walter White - Hasn't raced well in top stakes.  May be in deep.
3 - Habitat - Burke trainee has been going well of late.  Lands share.
4 - Suit And Tie - Colt gets minor spoils with best effort.
5 - Pinkman - The one to beat. Multi-faceted colt appears hard to beat.
6 - Muscle Diamond - Needs trip to be a factor.
7 - Guess Whos Back - Not this guy this week.
8 - Uncle Lasse - Will need to revert to earlier form to be a contender.
9 - Piercewave Hanover - Will be racing off cover.  Needs suicide fractions to contend.
10 - The Bank - Good qualifier of layoff.  ComplLate betes Takter quintet.
Selection 5-1-3-6

5th - $500,000 Pace - Breeders Crown 2yo Fillies
1 - Southwind Roulette - Rail will help but still appears in deep.
2 - Divine Caroline - Holloway trainee was freshened and qualified well.  Could land share.
3 - JK She'salady - Possible HOY with victory.  Seems to lay over these.
4 - Heart Major - Late bloomer can squeeze way on ticket.
5 - Bettor Be Steppin - Don't think he can control front end.
6 - Well Hello There - Toss last.  Can't disregard completely but better choices exist.
7 - Bettor N Better - Draws poorly.  Not sure can get into race.
8 - Heavenly Bride - One to toss.
9 - Sassa Hanover - Gingras chose this one over the favorite.  Better than she looks?  Consider.
10 - Ideal Nuggets -Bad post but possible Super selection.
Selection: 3-9-6-10

6th - $400,000 Pace - Breeders Crown Open
1 - Bettor's Edge - Gets post relief.  Will try to maximize opportunity.
2 - Modern Legend - Horse loves this track.  Contender.
3 - State Treasurer - Will likely try to make a move at the end.
4 - Thinking Out Loud - Needs a trip for any chance.
5 - Foiled Again - Think the best is in the past.
6 - Clear Vision - Tough field to compete against.
7 - Sweet Lou - A victory here would finish a career year.
Selection 1-2-7-3

7th - $500,000 Pace - Breeders Crown 2yo Colts and Geldings
1 - Cooperstown - Last better than he looks.  Upset chance.
2 - Traceuer Hanover - Won off a trip last week.  Don't expect him to work a trip.
3 - Lyons Levi Lewis - Will need a more aggressive drive today.
4 - Franzo - Outsider will be looking in today.
5 - Go Daddy Go - Has shown ability to race up front or from behind.  Like chances.
6 - Sicily - Hard to see here.
7 - Tomy Terror - Seems up against it.
8 - Soto - Another apparently out matched.
9 - Lost For Words -  Post hurts
10 - In The Arsenal -  Post compromises.  Should land share.
Selection 5-10-2-1

8th - $281,250 Pace - Breeders Crown Open Mares
1 - Camille - Inner draw is a plus.  That's bet which can be said.
2 - Charisma Hanover - Mare must race off the pace.  Possibility.
3 - Voelz Hanover - Not likely to repeat here.
4 -  Somwheroverarainbow - Expect a good effort here.
5 - Yagonnakissmeornot - Looks to complete a career year on top.
6 - Shelliscape - Lucky to land share.
7 - Krispy Apple -  Wins are rare and tonight is not the night
8 - Anndrovette - Figures to land share, but victory not likely.
9 -Rocklamation - Tough position.
10 - Regil Elektra -Don't see from here.
11 - Venus Delight - Good miles of late.  Should like the big track.
Selection 5-11-4-8

9th - $500,000 Trot - Breeders Crown 3yo Colts and Geldings
1 -Datsyuk - Nice horse lucky to land share.
2 - Hillustrious - Good enough to consider for exotic tickets.
3 - Nuncio - Horse has come into his own.  One to beat.
4 - Don Dorado -  Occasionally shows a decent effort.  Will this be one of those days?
5 - Il Sogno Dream -  Seems up against it.
6 - Father Patrick -Can he get it together here?  Possibility.
7 - Odds On Amethyst - Win over the track a plus.  Tough spot just the same.
8 - Sumatra - These are a different class of horse.
9 - Harper Blue Chip - Draws poorly.
10 - EL Titan - Horrible post but freshest of lot.  If looking for an upset play, he is it.
Selection 3-6-2-10

10th $531,240 Pace - Breeders Crown 3yo Colts and Geldings
1 - Let's Drink On It - Should improve from the rail.
2 - Somesizesomestyle - Will need to step it up.
3 - Mcwicked - Horse appears to have peaked.  Toss.
4 - Always B Miki - Has been on a tear; when does the ride end?  Tonight
5 - Limelight Beach - Favorable post position.  Good chance to here.
6 - JK Endofanera - Has peaked.  Can he recover lost step?
7 - Doo Wop Hanover - Don't see it.
8 - Somestarsomewhere - Seems overmatched.
9 - Luck Be Withyou - Hard to get in from the outside.
10 - Capital Account - Passing here.
Selection 5-4-1-6

11th  $500,000 Trot - Breeders Crown Open
1 - Your So Vain - Minor spoils at best.
2 - Market Share - Has had bad luck this year at the wrong times.
3 - Arch Madness - Gelding has seen his best days in the past.
4 - Maven - Took overland route to victory in last.  Should be better.
5 - Flanagan Memory - Can't recommend.
6 - Archangel - A step blow the best.
7 - Creatine - Was hot before layoff.  Freshened.
8 - Wishing Stone - Minor spoils at best
9 - Commander Crowe - Looking for big effort in Meadowland debut.
10 - Intimidate - Can figure in exotics.
Selection 9-4-2-10

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