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Saturday, April 19, 2014

Super Hi-5 Time (If Not Now, When?)

Tonight at Woodbine, the Super Hi-5 features a carry over of $287,500.  Now, I will be the first to admit I don't go for such wagers, being there are 151,200 possible combinations (all things being equal), but there comes a point where even someone like me will toss my hat into the pool (modestly, I will add).  Admit it, when Powerball gets to a certain amount, most of us tend to throw a few bucks at it and the odds of hitting that (with 196,249,054 possible combinations)  are far worse than hitting the Super Hi-5.  At least you can handicap a harness race; you can't do that with the lottery.  Besides, while your odds of hitting the Super Hi-5 are remote, you have no chance of taking down the pool if you don't play it.

So as a service to my readers, here are my thoughts on the 11th race at Woodbine tonight.  I'll leave you to construct your own tickets.  Remember, the base price for the Super Hi-5 is $.20.

11th Race Woodbine - $11,000; NW $4,500 Last 5 or NW $9,000 Last 10
1  Click K (Drury, 8-1) - Tried the engine last week only to be nipped at the end.  Steps up of that sharp effort and draws inside.  Needs a trip to win but can land on the ticket.

2  Ideal Race (Davis,  6-1) - Drops enough money of his card to return to his competitive class.  Should make a good account of himself here.  Note he was the beaten favorite in his last two starts at this level.

3  Up The Credit (A. Macdonald, 4-1) - Beaten favorite in lower class last week in parked out trip, closing slightly.  Was competitive in higher company, should give a good account of self tonight.  Competes for top spot?

4  Rock Me Amastreos (MacDonell, 8-1) - Took advantage of inside rail to shock them in lower company in last, not likely to have it this easy this week.  Would consider only if going deep on ticket.

5  Lennon Blue Chip (Filion, 12-1) - Raced well with a tag last week but should note he closed five lengths off a :29.1 third quarter.  Expect no such luck this week; will need to be up close to the action this week.  Your call.

6  Pouvoir Duharas (J. Macdonald, 8-1) - Won last time in this class before scratched sick.  Obviously needed return.  How will he be this week.  Don't like 10-1-0-0 record..  Use with caution.

7  Secretsoftheknight (McNair, 10-1) - Prepped in Florida; fair effort in first start back locally.  Must consider for ticket.

8  Manchester (Oliver, 12-1) - Impossible trip vs. C-1s at Meadowlands in last; toss that race.  Suspect better than he looks on paper.  Consider.

9  Classic Gent (Waples, 9-2) - Continues his descent in class.  Not finishing when racing up front.  Look for a change in tactics this week.  Can't play them all; will toss and hope.

10 Cool Rock (Christoforou, 3-1) - Now down to what should be a winnable level but will likely gun it for the front.  If doesn't clear, it can be a long night.

Selections: 3-10-1-8-7  

Good luck to all those playing tonight.

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