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Friday, August 16, 2013

2yo Pacing Update

With the Nassagaweya and Eternal Camnation coming up tomorrow night, VFTRG contributor Joe F. has decided it is a good time to give an update on the freshman pacing class.

With the open portion of the schedule about to commence for the two-year-old pacers, I thought I’d do an update on some of the more promising among them. 

Fashion Farms and Jim Campbell’s SBSW filly, Gallie ByThe Beach is the clear leader of that division. She’s a perfect five for five, having earned 127K and won in :52. Three of her wins came in the top tier PASS and another in the second tier PA All Stars series. 

Beach Body is another promising filly. The daughter of SBSW has hit the board in all four starts, with two of them being wins in the PASS program. She has 87K in the bank and took a :53.1 mark.
There are two SBSW fillies in the first split of the Eternal Camnation and four in the second. None of them are what would be considered prime contenders. Gallie and Beach Body are not entered.

Tyra, a McArdle filly has also racked up two wins in the PASS and sports a 4   3   0   1 record and 80K in earnings. She has a :52.3 mark. Between Tyra and McWicked McArdle is doing a fine job of promoting himself to the Ohio breeders…. The Art Official filly, Sister Stroll is another good one with four wins and a second in six starts, good for 77K. She beat Beach Body in an earlier All Stars race and also won a split of the Arden…. There will be two splits of the Eternal Camnation at Mohawk Saturday but these fillies weren’t nominated. Although there will be several PA breds in the race, including a half dozen by SBSW. Carl Jamiesson’s highly regarded SBSW filly, Bahama Blue, drew the two in the first division. She is out of 2006 2YOFP of the year, Isabella Blue Chip. Bahama Blue won a single division of the PASS, but has disappointed at short odds more than once. 

The New York contingent of freshmen pacing fillies is very strong. Jimmy Takter’s American Ideal filly, Ali Blue, is a top five filly. Putting aside a break at 1/9 in a NYSS race at Tioga, she has three strong wins to her credit in that program. Scandalicious is another American Ideal filly who seemed destined for stardom but has suffered a couple of inexplicable losses. The filly pipeline running out of Western Ideal is beyond compare. His son, American Ideal, has turned out the likes of American Jewel, Romantic Moment and Idyllic in recent years, and now Ali Blue. Another son, Rocknroll Hanover, gave us Put On A Show, Nitelife, Rocklamation, and now Rockingcam Park and Bolt Of Thunder from this year’s freshman class. The former goes in the Eternal Camnation for Jackie Mo, while Bolt Of Thunder, the winner of the NJSS final, is not entered.  And Western Ideal himself has produced the likes of Cabrini Hanover, Krispy Apple, Ms Caila J Fra and Jerseylicious. 

 Mind Over Matter—Art Major-- who starts from the rail in the second Eternal Camnation split, won a 57K division of the SS at Buffalo for Jeff Gregory and also took a 58K split of the Clyde Hirt at Yonkers. They tagged her with a 12/1 ML from the rail in the Eternal Camnation? Say what? Mind Over Matter is out of 2003 O’Brien 2YO Filly Pacer of the Year, Serious Comfort…. JK Molly is an Art Major filly trained by Linda Toscano  who has shown steady progress and beat Mind Over Matter at Tioga. And Precocious Beauty is another promising daughter of Art Major. She will race in the first split of the Eternal Camnation. Frank Bellino’s She’s Da Bomb, winner of a couple of races at Mohawk for Terry O’Sullivan, is another Art Major entered in the Eternal Camnation. Act Now, a full sister to Authorize, and Delinquent Account’s granddaughter, is lightly raced with a couple of wins in legs of the NJSS, but she appears to be better than most of these.

Some of the Shadow Play fillies, like Alibi Seelster and Nefertiti Bluechip have stepped up but only four of that stallions fillies were nominated to the Eternal Camnation and none are entered.


As for the colts, there is no Captaintreacherous in the group—nothing close. And while there are plenty of promising sons of SBSW out there, he isn’t dominating this class to the degree one might expect. His son, Limelight Beach, was vying for division leadership with three PASS wins as well as one in the Arden, but he showed poorly in the Tyler B a couple of days ago, losing to Allstar Partner. Brian Brown’s colt is not entered in Saturday’s Nassagaweya, nor is he staked to the Metro. 

The Four Starzzz Shark gelding, Allstar Partner, a 10K bargain, won a couple of PASS races, and was very sharp in a w-w win in the this week’s Tyler B. He carries a mark of :52.4. John Buttenschoen’s charge is not entered in the Nassagaweya . He is not eligible to the Metro either.

Let’s Drink On It, from Art Official’s first crop, has three wins in the PASS and looked good at The Meadows this week. Joe Seekman trains. He has earned 100K to this point. Let’s Drink On It is not staked to the Nassagaweya but is eligible to the Metro. Last year the Nassagaweya drew 22 entrants; there were two seven horse divisions and one eight. This year the race drew 27, allowing for three nine horse splits—a better wagering vehicle. Why aren’t more of the top colts and fillies from PA and NY present? The Metro purse has been reduced by 30% this year; the Goodtimes dropped 25%; the Elegantimage 35% and the Fan Hanover 38%. I suppose the money is so good in the Pennsylvania and New York sire stakes that many owners and trainers have decided not to nominate their charges to the Ontario Opens.

The American Ideal colt, He’s Watching, is the shooting star from this crop. He won a couple of NYSS races, then wowed us with a world record mile in :50 the other night at Tioga for Jim Morrill. David Menary is scrambling to get the colt staked to whatever he can. The $3,000 purchase isn’t staked to the BC, Jug, Bluegrass, Metro, Nassagaweya…..Not much. He may be forced to be a star on a small stage this season.

Western Vintage (Western Ideal) is a three time winner in the NJSS, including the 150K final. He figures to be the one to beat in the second division of the Nassagaweya…. Bob McIntosh’s Somewhere In LA, a SBSW colt out of a half-sister to TOL, who won his last couple, is also in that split.

David Menary’s Art major colt, Major Trick, drew the eight in the softer third division, but JJ figures to overcome the bad post with this two time NYSS winner. He also has a good second to forty Five Red in another SS race.

Forty Five Red, the If I Can Dream half to Thirty Two Red, is helping his first year sire get established. Winning the Sheppard, even against that Mickey Mouse field, is a big plus on his resume. He also won a SS race at Monticello and finished second in another at Tioga. Red is not staked to the Nassagaweya or the Metro. 

Still another from a first crop stallion who continues to impress is Jimmy Takter’s Well Said-Kikikatie colt, Tellitlikeitis. After an impressive win in the Tyler B, he now has two PASS victories. He won’t be at Mohawk Saturday but he is eligible to the Metro. 

Another stalwart performer from an unlikely source is Julie Miller’s McArdle colt, McWicked. He’s out of the Western Ideal mare, Western Sahara, and is wicked fast. He has three wins in five starts and two of them are in the PASS. He also has a couple of seconds in that program. This is McArdle’s most impressive freshman in recent memory. No Nassagaweya or Metro for him. 

The more regally bred, Luck Be Withyou, a Western Ideal brother to American Jewel and Source Of Pride, figures to take the money in the first division of the Nassagaweya. His recent drubbing of Idealbeach Hanover marked him as one to watch. He’s Mr underestimated: he won at 19/1 last time and 10/1 the time before that. Three Of Clubs, a Mach Three colt that recently won the Battle Of Waterloo for the McNairs, is in the same division as Luck Be Withyou. 

Last year The Captain had already gone his record mile at M1 in the Wilson prior to the Nassagaweya and Metro. Now the Wilson is dead and most of the better colts aren’t racing at Mohawk on Saturday. No colt or filly has been crowned in the press. The Metro eliminations are next week and the final is on August 31. The Captain beat a ten horse field in last year’s Metro at 4/5. This time around things may not get settled until Lexington at the end of September, beginning of October.


The trend toward seeded stakes, such as this week’s Colonial, Battle, Valley Forge and Gerrity, is causing problems for four-year-olds that were held out at the beginning of the season. Wheeling N Dealin is relegated to the second Colonial Consolation because his seasonal earning’s figure is so low. Heston Blue Chip, a Gerrity nominee who won at Saratoga last week, didn’t make the cut in that race because of insufficient funds. Michaels Power is also a Gerrity nominee. He wouldn’t qualify either. Starting back late so as to be fresh in the fall is a nice concept, but it can be costly.

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