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Sunday, April 3, 2016

A Champion in Defeat

Wiggle It Jiggleit went off last night in the 3rd division of the George Morton Levy Memorial series at 2-5 in his second start of the year.  As I mentioned last week, if less than 2-1, you should look for a value play primarily because he was saddled with a poor post in his second pari-mutuel start of the year; anything less than 2-1 would not be a value play.

Well, sure enough WIJI went off at 2-5 and as suspected, the seven post was his undoing as he was seventh or last more of the mile until he turned on his afterburners, moving from seventh to second in the final quarter, losing the race by a length.

Could he have won it last night?  It is possible if his season climaxed last night, but it is the start of a long season so he had to settle for an impressive second place.  As others have said and I concur, you see a horse's greatness in defeat more than when he wins and make no mistake, it was an impressive mile considering the time of year it was (you may see it below).  All I know, assuming the champion pacer gets an inside post position next week, you will be lucky to get 2-5 on the pacer.  The key is to know when 2-5 is a gift or a horse to be ignored.

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