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Thursday, April 19, 2012

Friday Spot Races

With the Blue Chip Matchmaker in the final week of eliminations, it would pay to look at the point totals of those competing in this week's races to see which horses are on the bubble; those who run the risk of not qualifying for next week's final.  Those who have not locked in their positions or still have a chance of qualifying will need to put in their best efforts, while those who have already punched their ticket for the main event may be leaving something in the tank for next week.

While we look at the four Matchmaker eliminations, we will also look at the finals of Pocono Downs' Bobby Weiss trotting series for 3&4yos that were non-winners of 3 extended pari-mutuel races or $50,000 lifetime through January 1, 2012, and the trotting invitational at the Meadowlands.

4th YR - $40,000 Pace; Blue Chip Matchmaker Series Mare FFA - 5th Preliminary; 1st Division
1 - Krispy Apple (Tetrick, 4-1) - Expect an all out effort here as anything less may find her outside looking in.
4 - Western Silk (Brennan, 7-5) - Class of the race, the one to beat but poor odds.
7 - Lightning Treasure (Sears, 9-5) - Draws the worst of it.  Needs miracle to advance, but should land share.

6th YR - $40,000 Pace; Blue Chip Matchmaker Series Mare FFA - 5th Preliminary; 2nd Division
5 - Chancey Lady (Tertick, 4-5) - Ran up against the hot horse in last two; no such problem here.
2 - Billmar Scooter (Goodell, 6-1) - Must race big if any chance to advance.  Will be hoping for a trip.
1 - Mystical Diva (Sears, 4-1) - Costly break at start last week; should land share.

7th YR - $40,000 Pace; Blue Chip Matchmaker Series Mare FFA - 5th Preliminary; 3rd Division (Win Only)
7 - See You At Peelers (Sears, 3-5) - Took week off.  Will either get lead or follow along.  No value here.
6 - Ginger And Fred (Bartlett, 5-1) - Bubble horse needs decent effort to advance.  Expect him to follow SYAP.
3 - Arctic Fire N (Rattray, 15-1) - Lands share with trip.  May add value to triple.

9th YR - $40,000 Pace; Blue Chip Matchmaker Series Mare FFA - 5th Preliminary; 4th Division (Win Only)
4 - Rocklamation (Sears, 8-5) - Only one to worry about and that one has the seven hole.
7 - Anndrovette (Tetrick, 4-5) - Best horse on paper but with the seven hole, may be looking ahead.
1 - P Note Blue Chip (Brennan, 10-1) - Won last time at the rail; may improve trifecta pay-off.

10th PCD5/8 - $30,000 Trot; Bobby Weiss Series Final - 3&4yos LC
1 - Upfrontstrikesgold (Buter, 5-2) - Looks to extend win streak to three.  Takes advantage of rail.
6 - All Munky Business (Morrill, 6-1) - Seems a likely second but if trip goes her way, look out.  Hot driver.
4 - Outlaw (Callahan, 3-1) - Flawless since arriving from DE.  Just a question of where he finishes in the money.
3 - Quantum Confident (Napolitano, 10-1) - Should complete the superfecta.

10th M1 - $30,000 Trot - Invitational
2 - Arch MAdness (Smedshammer, 8-5) - Class of race.  Should win easily.
1 - Hava Kadabra (Gingras, 15-1) - Looked good prior to series at Woodbine.  At these odds, worth a good look.
6 - Fountainbleu Volo (D Miller, 3-1) - Draws outside Arch Madness this week.  Lands share.
8 - In Focus (Pierce, 6-1) - Nice horse.  Goes from the rail to the outside post.  Picks up the rest.

Rocknroll Hanover continues to shine.  I'm not one that follows the breeding end of the business, but it seems me with the success of Rocknroll Hanover in the breeding shed, he is going to be a dominant sire for quite a while. Perretti Farms has been adding some nice broodmares to their band since it has become apparent things were not as rosy in other states/provinces; obviously thinking New Jersey may be heading for a renaissance down the road.

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