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Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Delaware County Fair - Wednesday Analysis

Here are my selections for Wednesday's racing at the Delaware County Fair.  First post is at 11:00AM.  If you are looking for Tuesday's selections, you may find them here.

Please note due to the number of races being held, the tote system can't handle the races as one racing card.  Hence, there are two racing programs today.  Program 1 consists only of one race, so when you are betting the first race on Wednesday, make sure you select program 1 or program 2 as appropriate (On Thursday, there will be five races in program 1).

Wednesday's card has several stakes races, including the Buckette for filly trotters and the Jugette.  For the two divisions of the Jugette (Races 15 & 16), I also list the horse I believe will finish fourth and advance to the second heat as the first four finishers in each division advance.  While the colts on Thursday need to win two heats, hence the possibility of a race-off, starting this year, the winner of the second heat will be the winner of the Jugette.

With the exception of race 3 on the second program which will be contested at a half mile, the balance of the races will be contested at the traditional mile distance.

Program 1
1st Trot - $6,400; Delaware Open Series 3yo Colts and Geldings
3 - Otto (C Noble, 4-1)
5 - Spring Fling (R Miller, 9-5)
2 - Herbie L (D Noble, 8-1)

Program 2
1st Trot - $1,900; Horse and Geldings NW $10,000 in 2011
3 - Too Good Too Pass (D Noble, 5-2)
6 - Near The Limit (JD Wengerd, 4-1)
5 - Final Scorpion (J Coffy, 10-1)

2nd Trot - $6,800; Delaware Open Series 2yo Fillies
5 - Wardon's Daughter (R Stahl, 2-1)
1 - Jailhouse Robbin (A Merriman, 3-1)
3 - Annie's Master (H Dick, 12-1)

3rd Pace - $2,500; Horses and Geldings W/O $1,000 W/O $5,000 in 2011 Ineligible  Distance 1/2 Mile
3 - Morningsailer (D Noble, 6-1)
5 - Sea Of Envy (D Miller, 5-2)
1 - Checkeredsbigchris (JD Wengerd, 10-1)

4th Trot - $1,900; Fillies and Mares; NW $10,000 in 2011
2 - Contech (C Page, 4-1)
5 - Upfront Jesse (D Noble, 5-2)
3 - Katkin (A Merriman, 6-1)

5th Trot - $1,900; Horses and Geldings; NW $10,000 in 2011
8 - Blueridge Tornado (E Greeno Jr, 10-1)
7 - Stormy New York (R Holsapple, 12-1)
1 - Go Jesse Go (D Myers, 4-1)
2 - Win Master (R Stahl, 6-1)

6th Pace - $17,097; Ohio Breeders Championship - 2yo Colts and Geldings (1st Division)
4 - Tatas Flash (R Conner, 6-1)
3 - Four Aces Osborne (R Stahl, 5-2)
6 - Q B Sam (K Alter, 3-1)

7th Trot - $1,900; Fillies and Mares NW $10,000 in 2011
5 - CJ's Super Secret (J Campbell, 2-1)
7 - G S Ren (R Steck, 8-1)
2 - Filly Power (E Greeno Jr, 6-1)
6 - Conway Maid (D Noble, 5-2)

8th Pace - $2,400; 2yo Fillies NW 2 Races or $10,000 LT
2 - Pete's Attitude (J Dailey, 4-1)
6 - Kannon's Flash (A Jones, 6-1)
3 - Caviart Cara (D Noble, 9-5)

9th Trot - $16,447; Ohio Breeders Championship 3yo Fillies (1st Division)
3 - Hardrockenjessica (D Miller, 3-1)
1 - Sleek Jessie (A Merriman, 4-1)
2 - ML Cupcake (C Noble, 5-2)

10th Trot - $33,116; The Standardbred 2yo Fillies
5 - Oasis Dream (D Palone, 8-5)
6 - Pink Cloud (D Snyder, 7-2)
2 - Mighty Gal (R Stahl, 8-1)
3 - Anna Mona Hanover (C Norris, 3-1)

11th Pace - $17,097; Ohio Breeders Championship 2yo Colts and Geldings (2nd Division)
3 - Gun Show (D Noble, 2-1)
5 - Noble Trick (A Merriman, 5-2)
1 - Big Man Osborne (R Stahl, 10-1)

12th Trot - $21,322; Ohio Breeders Championship 3yo Colts and Geldings (1st Division)
5 - J J Hall (C Noble, 1-1)
4 - Rose Run Mac (D McKirgan, 7-2)
1 - Count Howie (D Palone, 10-1)
7 - Calling A Victory (A Merriman, 6-1)

13th Trot - $16,447; Ohio Breeders Championship 3yo Fillies (2nd Division)
2 - Fire In The Cell (R Paver, 2-1)
6 - TT's Honey Bun (R Stahl, 4-1)
4 - count Your Credit (C Noble, 3-1)

14th Trot - $96,800; The Buckette 3yo Fillies (Gtd $25,000 Pick 4 Pool)
3 - Landy Andover (R Pierce, pp 2, 5-2)
8 - Action On George (T Tetrick, pp 9, 3-1)
5 - Swing Anna Cash (C Noble, pp 4, 8-1)
Coupled: Pacific Splash and Pay Me Sister - Robert J Key entry
#8 Action On George races from 2nd tier

15th Pace - $58,470; The Jugette 3yo Fillies - 1st Heat (1st Elimination) 
2 -  Myluvmylife (B Sears, 3-1)
4 - Idyllic (D Miller, 9-5)
5 - Latin Lyric (T Tetrick, 6-1)
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3 - Whats New Pussycat (Y Gingras, 5-1)

16th Pace - $58,470; The Jugette 3yo Fillies - 1st Heat (2nd Elimination)
1 - Rocklamation (Y Gingras, 8-1)
4 - Strike An Attitude (D Palone, 2-1)
2 - Musette Mindale (G Grismore, 7-2)
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6 - Rockratese (T Tetrick, 10-1)

17th Trot - $21,322; Ohio Breeders Championship 3yo Colts and Geldings (2nd Division)
3 - Quick N' Slick (S Mogan, 4-1)
2 - Brewing Mastser (S Cox, 8-1)
7 - Sack Full Of Gold (D Miller, 6-1)
8 - Hello Andy (B Weaver, 12-1)

18th Trot - $33,116; The Standardbred 2yo Fillies (2nd Division)
6 - End Of Innocence (D Miller, 5-2)
1 - Lindmeyourvictory (R Pierce, 7-2)
8 - Kandian Klub (D Collins, 4-1)
2 - Miss Chip K (C Norris, 3-1)

19th Pace - $175,410; The Jugette 3yo Fillies - 2nd Heat
The top four horses from race 15 and 16 return for the second heat.  Assuming the horses I predict advance, this is my selection for the race:
1st - Idyllic
2nd - Myluvmylife
3rd - Rocklamation
4th - Strick An Attitude

20th Pace - $2,400; Fillies and Mares NW $2,000L5 Winners of $15,000 in 2011 Ineligible
  7 - Deena (D Myers, 8-1)
  6 - Love Your Life (G Grismore, 15-1)
11 - Tarpon Springs (R Paver, 6-1)
  1 - Lavish Liz (C Page, 2-1)
#9 Sadies Desert Fox, #10 Intrewishon, #11 Tarpon Springs score from the second tier. 

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