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Friday, September 17, 2010

Trotting on Display, Illinios Super Night

Saturday night at Mohawk Racetrack features the finals of three trotting events; the Peaceful Way (2yoF), William Wellwood Memorial (2yos), and of course, the Canadian Trotting Classic (3yos).

The Canadian Trotting Class sets up as a re-match between Hambo winner Muscle Massive and second place fiisher Lucky Chucky but I think there is a chance Temple Of Doom may finally get his moment to shine.  He led the field to the three quarters before finishing a well beaten third but I suspect it was a question of his connections saving him for the big pay day; after all, why go all out for a $40,000 race when there is a million dollars on the line the following week?  If you look at his split of the Zweig Memorial at Tioga back on August 29, he came home a fifth of second faster in winning his split when compared to Lucky Chucky.  At 10-1, Temple of Doom is a live long shot and a value play.

Here is my analysis of the big three races at Mohawk:

Mohawk - 4th Trot - $466,000; Peaceful Way Stakes - 2yo Fillies
7 - Lukes Sophie (Jamieson, 6-1) - Good effort off a break.  Prior effort finished a close second to the favorite.  May score a minor upset.
4 - Crys Dream (Ouellette, 5-2) - Winner of 4 of 5 is the horse to beat.  Willing to accept the odds offered?
5 - Intense America (Tetrick, 5-1) - Will be flying late.  Could sneak into exacta.
9 - Hey Mister (Sears, 7-1) - A trip may get him in the supers. 

Mohawk - 7th Trot - $1,000,000; Canadian Trotting Classic - 3yo Open
   1 - Lucky Chucky (Campbell, 8-5) - The horse to beat coming into this race with a bye.  Has been shart in all his races after his seasonal debut.
   2 - Temple Of Doom (Miller, 10-1) - Has been just a step below all season.  Coming into this race well.  A live longshot.
   3 - Coco Lindy (Tetrick, 30-1) - Gets a break with the post but doesn't seem to belong at this level.  Toss.
   4 - Break The Bank K (Sears, 8-1) - Elim winner parked entire way from post ten.  A step below but with racing luck could shock.
   5 - Muscle Massive (Pierce, 7-5) - Looking to complete Hambo-CTC double.  Is beatable, especially at 7-5.
   6 - Hard Livin (Gingras, 30-1) - Clearly racing for minor spoils.  Pass.
   7 - Text Me (Waples, 15-1) - Followed winner last week and came up empty.  Best to stick with Ontario breds.
   8 - Pilgrims Taj (Lachance, 15-1) - Continues with a disappointing season.  Pass.
   9 - Take My Picture (A. Miller, 15-1) - Finished second to elim winner.  Could get in superfecta.
 10 - Hes A Demon (Jamieson, 15-1) - Talented colt not up to this class.  Long night from post ten.
 AE - Arriba Amigo (Ritchie, AE) -  Soooo out of his league.  Pass if he draws in.
Selections: 2-1-5-9

Mohawk 9th Trot - $500,000; William Wellwood Memorial - 2yos
  4 - Broad Bahn (Moiseyev, 9-2) - Elimination winner needs to mind manners to win.
  3 - Leader Of The Gang (Pierce, 7-2) - Another elimination winner who looks to go six for eight.
11 - Blue Porsche (Ritchie, AE) - Also eligible can get in exotics with a clean trip at a price if he draws in.
10 - Neal (Sears, 8-1) - A contender who draws the worst of it.  Looking for a share.
  9 - Whisky Tax (Tetrick, 15-1) - Another contender who draws poorly.  Can get in the super with racing luck.

Illinois showcases their Illinois Conceived and Foaled (ICF) horses with Super Night at Balmoral Park.  For those who are looking for action late in the evening, here are my selections for the PT Langley and Orange & Blue Paces:

Balmoral 13th - $173,000; PT Langley - 3yo Colts and Geldings ICF
7 - Iam Bonasera (Magee, 3-1)
1 - Power Of A Moment (Miller, 5-2)
3 - Delco Willobee (DeLong, 9-2)
8 - JHS (Buter, 12-1)

Balmoral 14th - $265,000; Orange & Blue - 2yo Colts and Geldings ICF
  6 - Dutch Richman (Miller, 3-1)
  7 - Fox ValleY Mercury (Magee, 4-1)
10 - Playin For Keeps (Buter, 8-1)
  4 - Mr Bedrock (Tayler, 6-1)


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