State Fair, Back to The Track Continues; Confederation Cup

The New York State Fair races continue at Tioga Downs on Sunday afternoon, featuring three year old fillies of both gaits.

Sunday, August 15
1st Trot - $28,840; NYSF - 3yo fillies
5 - Frosty Flirt (2-1)
3 - Tuesdays With Mom (4-1)
2 - Sweespellosuccess (6-1)

2nd Pace - $54,710; NYSF - 3yo fillies
4 - Tia Maria Hanover (6-1)
2 - Chatty Kathy (5-1)
1 - Enduring Delight (4-1)

4th Pace - $55,710; NYSF - 3yo filles
1 - Truly A Treasure (5-1)
8 - Crown Lady (8-1)
2 - Barks Like A Dog (4-1)
6 - Max's Leading Lday (3-1)

5th Trot - $28,840; NYSF - 3yo fillies
7 - Gabby's Credit Card (5-1)
4 - Secret Credit (3-1)
6 - Video (8-1)

6th Trot - $28,840; NYSF - 3yo fillies
4 - Windemerealfiredup (6-1)
2 - Radiant One (9-2)
5 - Amazing Adventure (5-2)

9th Trot - $28,840; NYSF - 3yo fillies
4 - Wolf's Jann (9-2)
2 - Thergosmyvacation (4-1)
7 - Ave De Vie (6-1)

My selections for the other races on the Tioga Downs card are:

3rd - Blazing Winner, Katie's Red Rose, Doc's All Class (4-2-1)
7th - Utah Jack, Jovial Jester N, Tarver Hanover, Anvilanunoit N (3-7-8-1)
8th - Cool Touch, Super Lotto, Southern Beauty (2-1-7)
10th - Armbro Barrister, Baseball Express, Andover America (6-5-4)
11th - Whole Lotta Wow, Up Front Danny Boy, Who Dey (1-6-3)
12th - June's Sunny Boy, Fox Valley Snaffle, Max Q, Hearty Fellow  (3-6-5-9)

Sunday is the second day of Back to the Track weekend.  To commerate the conclusion of the first annual Back to the Track event, we will be looking at one race from each of the tracks which did not race yesterday.

Chester Downs - 4th Pace - $19,000; Non-winners $17,500 in last five starts
3 - Montecito N (4-1)
4 - Estero Bay (3-1)
7 - Mccedes (5-1)

Red Mile - 7th Pace - $2,200; Non-winners $1,000 in last five starts
  2 - Fox Valley Blitzen (8-1)
  6 - Eye Of The Dog (3-1)
10 - Going Our Way (15-1)
  1 - Donald Edward (8-1)

Skowhegan Fair - 11th Pace - $3,000; Claiming $4,000 FM
2 - RD Shoeless (4-1)
7 - Nothings Ever Free (7-2)
8 - LM Christiana (9-2)

Last, but not least, is the Confederation Cup occuring at Flamboro Downs.  There will be two eliminations (8th and 8th race) where the top four finishers and one fifth place finisher will return for the 12th race where they will compete for a purse of $547,000. 

8th Pace - $50,000; Confederation Cup XXXIV - 3yo Open - 1st Elimination
2 - Stonebridge Tonic (10-1)
4 - Foreign Officer (3-1)
3 - BGs Folly (5-2)
5 - Malicious (15-1)

On paper, BGs Folly is the horse to beat.  However, being he will likely go off odds on, I will take my chances on a horse that shows a win over the half mile track.  Nothing shows BGs Folly being able to handle the half mile oval.  Back on May 14, Stonebridge Tonic shows a win over the Flamboro oval in winning tte Bud Light.  It does need to be noted that the connections of BGs Folly bought their way into this race by paying the $25,000 supplementary fee. 

9th Pace - $50,000; Confeeration Cup XXXIV - 3yo Open - 2nd Elimination
7 - Tobago Cays (4-1)
9 - Aracache Hanover (5-2)
4 -BP Chimo (3-1)
6 - Keystone Raptor (8-1)

Of course it is hard to say who will advance to the final, but I would be looking at BGs Folly, Tobago Cays, and Stonebridge Tonic in the final.  Of course, how they race in the elimination and post draw will come into play when looking at the race winner.