Last year a
snow event in late October grounded Tim Tetrick, Yanick Gingras, David Miller
and George Brennan in New Jersey on Breeders Crown day, leading to an
embarrassing flurry of driver changes. The storm was not a surprise and Tetrick
and Gingras had driven at Vernon the previous night, but chose to return to New
Jersey despite the nasty forecast. The folks at Woodbine acted as if it was
nothing out of the ordinary, and that approach generated much in the way of
comment and consternation.
We had
another bizarre BC situation on Saturday as Jim Morrill was apparently turned
away at the border because he didn’t have a work visa. Since numerous Canadian
and American drivers cross the border for work on a daily basis, this appears
to be a case of an overly officious border agent making a big mistake.
Regardless, Morrill, who had driven in five races at Woodbine on Friday night,
was a late scratch on Archangel, Beatgoeson Hanover, Hillbilly Hanover,
Foreclosure and Classic Rock NRoll. Beatgoeson and Foreclosure both won.
Morrill
returned in July of last year from a 270-day suspension for refusing to take a
breathalyzer which was handed down by the Kentucky Racing Commission. Since
then he has been far and away the top driver in the NYSS, and he currently
ranks tenth overall in earnings for 2012.
As one might
expect, speculation was rampant over what caused Morrill to miss his drives on
this very important night, but it seems that nothing was said or written to
dampen the fire of speculation. Can you imagine this happening in another
sport? If there was a legitimate reason for Morrill missing his drives, whacky
as it may be, let us know. Is there actually some other reason? If so, what is
it?
*******************
Now that the
BC eliminations are completed, is leadership on the division level any clearer?
Has a HOY candidate separated from the pack?
Can Romantic
Moment overtake her stablemate, American Jewel, in the three-year-old pacing
filly division?
Rather than
having the two fillies fight each other for NYSS money all season, Takter has
pretty much kept Jewel on the GC, while allowing Romantic Moment to handle the
SS races. Jewel has won the Fan Hanover, Lynch, Simcoe and Bluegrass, as well
as eliminations for the Fan, Lynch and BC. She won the Fan in a WR :48.2 at
Mohawk, and set a :49.2 record for a three-year-old filly on a 5/8 track when
she won the Lynch at Pocono.
Romantic
Moment hasn’t gone quite that fast; she sports a mark of :50.1. Both fillies
have earned roughly the same amount of money, with Jewel about $35,000 ahead in
that department.
Romantic
Moment won the Valley Forge, the Garnsey and the NYSS Final. Six of her ten
wins were in the NYSS. She finished second in the Bluegrass and fourth in the
Fan Hanover. Her accomplishments in the open sphere don’t match Jewel’s but
she’s been the hotter filly over the last half of the season: she’s won 8 of
her last 10 starts, while Jewel has won 4 of her last 10.
A win over
Jewel in the BC would certainly put Romantic Moment on equal footing with her
more celebrated paternal sister. Both are eligible to the Matron, and Romantic
Moment is also staked to the Lady Maud, while Jewel is staked to the American
National.
Can Little
Brown Fox catch Market Share?
When you
focus on earnings, at first glance this seems like a hopeless task. LBF has won
seven times and has 2012 earnings of $782,000, while Market Share has eight
wins and has earned more than $1.7 million. The latter won the right races: the
Hambletonion and the $1 million Canadian Trotting Classic. In addition to those
two races, he won the Zweig. He lost in
the Dexter; finished third in the NJSS
final; finished out in the Goodtimes; was beaten soundly by Goo in the Colonial;
and was beaten by upstart, Intimidate, in his BC elimination. The money is more
dominant than the record. Market Share was also taken to task when his
connections chose not to supplement to the Ky Futurity, and to race instead in
a $10,000 late closer.
Little Brown
Fox won the Stanley Dancer, Simcoe and Ackerman. He won his CTC elimination,
but finished second in the final. He was second in his Ky Futurity elimination
and fourth in the final. He won his BC elimination. Gingras and Takter get to
choose their post for the BC final, while Market Share is at the mercy of the
draw. A win would boost LBF’s earnings over the million dollar mark, but
overcoming that Market Share Hambletonion win, especially when LBF broke stride
and eliminated himself in the prelim, will be no easy task.
Little Brown
Fox and Goo are both eligible to the Matron, while Market Share is not. The buy
in is modest, but his connections may not want to go out of their way to face
Goo again. LBF, on the other hand, will have everything to gain and nothing to
lose.
Who is going
to be the champion Aged Pacing Mare?
This one
really does come down to the BC. Rocklamation was good early, winning several
legs and the final of the Matchmaker. She also won the Milton and the Pride In
Progress. Her name isn’t generally mentioned as a possible division winner, but
she has earned about $650,000, almost $300,000 more than Rebeka Bayama, who is
the hot mare in that division right now, and $300,000 more than Drop The Ball, another
sharp mare. POAS is $200,000 back of Rocklamation and $65,000 back of
Anndrovette.
Rebeka won
the Golden Girls and a half-dozen opens. Even with a win in the BC, it would be
tough to crown her.
POAS, who
will race in the Open, has eleven wins, including the Lady Liberty and Spring
Of Hope. She is also the world record holder. If she beats the boys, the
division is hers. What about a solid board finish?
Drop The
Ball, who drew the eleven post in the final, won the Allerage Mare. She
qualified at Harrah’s a day or two ago.
Anndrovette
won the Roses Are Red in WR time, but she seems to have tailed off lately, and
has only won twice in her last eleven starts.
What about
the three-year-old colt pacers?
A Rocknroll
Dance has been a major contender all year, but failing to qualify for the BC
final is a major blow to his chances. He took on the best of the division week
after week, and won the Pace, Hempt and Battle Of Brandywine. However, he’s now
lost seven in a row, including the Cane, Simcoe, Jug, Bluegrass, Tattersalls
and BC elimination. No.
Bolt The
Duer, winner of the Adios, Simpson and KYSS final, is through for the year. No.
Michaels
Power is the earnings leader, thanks to his success in the ONSS program, and he
also won the Jug, the Confederation Cup and a division of the SBSW, but he
skipped Lexington, then finished second behind Mel Mara in an ONSS Gold Final,
and was fourth in his BC elimination. The last two starts haven’t helped, but a
win in the BC final would certainly put him in contention. Although it is
important to remember that Michaels Power did not race in the final of the NA
Cup, the Pace, Hempt, Adios, Cane or Battle of Brandywine, in addition to
skipping The GC meet at The Red Mile. His would be an unusual route to a
division championship.
Sweet Lou
won eliminations of the NA Cup, Pace, Adios and Jug. He finally got that
elusive open stakes win in the Tattersalls a couple of weeks ago. With Dance
and Duer falling on hard times, and Michaels Power exhibiting vulnerability of
late, Lou is in the running.
Heston Blue
Chip, an impressive winner of his BC elimination the other night, is an
intriguing candidate. He spent most of the season beating up on the NYSS set,
but he has been more than competitive when placed in open company. He won his
Pace elimination and his Cane elimination. If he wins the BC it will be his
first open stakes win of 2012. He’s eligible to the Matron. They took the safe
SS road with HBC all season, and this is reflected in his smaller earnings
figure and lack of open wins. Colts like HBC and Panther Hanover are
interesting but a BC win might be too little, too late.
Thinking Out
Loud has earned more than $1 million this year. He won the NA Cup and the
Bluegrass. He’s got two wins in his last ten starts. The BC and The Cup make
for impressive seasonal bookends, but there isn’t enough in between..
Will Foiled
win the Aged Pacing division again?
Cheddar won
the Franklin, Des Smith and Quillen before ending his season prematurely. He
lost the Mohawk Gold Cup and the Canadian Pacing Derby. Two major losses on his
home turf. A BC win would have given him the division, but at this point that
probably won’t be enough. The sharpest horse is Bettor Sweet, who only has two
wins. He can’t win it all, but may spoil it for Foiled or Golden Receiver.
The latter
has the most impressive record, with wins in the Haughton, USPC, Presidential,
Graduate and the Spring Pacing Championship at Woodbine. On the other hand, Foiled
won the Canadian Pacing Derby, the Molson and three legs of the Levy. Also in
his favor is the fact that he broke Gallo’s earnings mark this year. If either
Foiled or Golden Receiver wins the BC, they win the division. If some other
horse wins, it’s still up in the air.
Captaintreacherous,
Check Me Out and Chapter Seven seem to be the strongest contenders for HOY
honors. If two of the three lose on Saturday, the other one will probably be
voted HOY.