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Wednesday, July 14, 2010

Tomkins-Geers Preview

The Tomkins-Geers Stakes highlight a special Thursday evening race card at Tioga Downs this week.  Two year old trotters take center stage on Thursday evening.  While most two year old trotting events this time of year are races I tend to bypass, these races are somewhat intriguing; especially since these races have some top two year olds competing.. 

In the fifth race, Jezzy looks to be an easy winner after winning the Acorn at the Meadowlands and a NYSS in Buffalo.  Clearly she is one of the early season success stories for the 2yo trotting fillies.  The eighth race is a very competitive field featuring Saturn Blue Chip, Rhythmic Moves, and others including the Roger Hammer driven Linus B Worthy, who has won two starts on the PA fair circuit.  The ninth race is another competitive field with Reynolds winner Lyrical Lady (Roger Hammer) meeting Electra Blue Chip amd Decolletage.

My selections for the Tompkins-Geers races are:

2nd Trot - $23,127; Tompkins-Geers - 2yo Fillies
1  My Good Side (8-1) - Improved in second start.  Not out of it.
2  Dream Ticket  (10-1) - Never a factor in last.  Pass.
3  Some Girls (9-2) - Winner of first start.  May benefit from a fast pace.
4  Pacific Splash (2-1) - Undefeated filly seems to be well ahead of the rest of these. 
5  Dance Steps (8-1) - Jumped off in last as a favorite.  Possible contender if flat.
6  What's Your Name (6-1) - Not a factor in Meadowlands start.
7  Carme Blue Chip (4-1) - NYSS winner has to deal with outside post.
8  Tap Tap Dance (10-1) - Draws poorly.
Selections: 4-5-3

3rd Trot - $27,485; Tompkins-Geers - 2yo Colts and Geldings
1  Typical Newyorker (9-2) - Jumped off in parimutuel debut after good qualifier at Tioga.  Your guess.
2  Com'n Atcha Cash (12-1) - Beaten in debut at YR.  Had qualified well here.
3  New Zion (8-1) - Ships in from Meadowlands well-prepped.  Maybe a factor.
4  Mister Mojo (12-1) - Finished third in Goshen stakes.    Don't ignore.
5  Ooga Booga (3-1) - Meeting easier here after Reynolds start at Pocono.  Horse to beat.
6  Mystical Mikel (7-2) - Another Meadowlands shipper which closed off slow 3/4s.  Trainer scheduled to drive. 
7  Thor Blue Chip (6-1) - Jumped off at start in last.  Pass with poor post.
8  Wise Man (7-2) - Finally a clean line, needs to get to the front early.
Selections: 5-1-3

5th Trot - $23,127; Tompkins-Geers - 2yo Fillies
1  Cheetah Hall (10-1) - Finished fifth in debut before being scratched in last.  Pass.
2  Bosslady (15-1) - Seems to lack closing kick.
3  Melinda Hanover (6-1) - Seemed to be improving before wiped out in last.  Consider.
4  Movado Hall (9-2) - Finised no worst than 3rd in four starts.  Should be a threat.
5  Jezzy (8-5) - Undefeated filly winner of Acorn at NYSS races.  Likely winner will go off odds-on.
6  Pretty As My Mom (20-1) - Broke two out of three starts.  Enough said.
7  Southwind Ricola (20-1) - Not ready for prime time.
8  Imageofasweetday (3-1) - If clears early will be following Jezzy around the track.
Selections: 5-8-3

8th Trot - $27,485; Tompkins-Geers - 2yo Colts and Geldings
1  Pay The Winner (9-5) - NYSS winner at the Hilltop draws the rail for his second wagering race.  The one to beat.
2  Saturn Blue chip (4-1) - Came alive on the half mile oval.  Needs to pick up the tempo this week.
3  Linus B Worthy (8-1) - Two win came at Gratz and Meadville.  Didn't race well at Pocono.  Hard to gauge.
4  Loose Change (12-1) - No threat in debut.  Pass.
5  Steubenmeanmachine (12-1) - Finished second to #2 at Goshen.  Jumped at start in last.  If flat, will compete.
6  Lanark Hall (6-1) - Early speed inside should eliminate him.
7  Akaruc (6-1) - Will need a trip to land share.
8  Rhythmic Moves (5-1) - Tough spot here.  Pass.
Selections: 1-2-3-7

9th Trot - $23,127; Tompkins-Geers - 2yo Fillies
1  No More Credit (9-2) -  Qualified well at Chester for her debut.  Must consider in exotics.
2  Decolletage (9-2) -  Thrashed by Lyrical Lady in Reynolds, but draws inside.  Respect.
3  Mynah Hanover (8-1) - Another hard to gauge.  Filly three seconds faster than Linus B Worthy at Gratz.  See how he goes before deciding.
4  Lyrical Lady (5-2) - Seems to be much the best.  Will be odds-on by post time.
5  Electra Blue Chip (7-2) - Finished fourth in NJSS.  Can be a threat if stays flat.
6  Cashaholic (6-1) - Well prepped but draws into tough field.
7  Lady Bella (12-1) - In deep.
8  Ilia (12-1) - Must mind manners and in tough with worst draw.  Tab for later.
Selections: 4-2-3

10th Trot - $27,485; Tompkins-Geers - 2yo Colts and Geldings
1  Whitewater Rapids (12-1) -  Not ready for prime time.  Pass.
2  Surface Tension (9-2) - Was hard used when jumped at Yonkers.  Shows the ability to go fast. 
3  Tiger's Too Good (6-1) - While NYSS winner, it was slow.  Expect faster tempo.
4  Keenan (7-2) - Three lines, two breaks.  Must show he can stay flat.
5  Sing Out (5-2) - Last was a good race at Yonkers.  Can win here but may have low odds.
6  I'm The Man (8-1) - Makes first pari-mutuel start after very good Meadowlands qualifier.  Value play?
7  Ice Machine (12-1) - Must show he can carry speed.  Pass.
8  Charlie De Vie (9-2)  - Impressive baby race at Meadowlands.  Worth a shot. 
Selections: 8-7-2

11th Trot - $23,127; Tompkins-Geers - 2yo Fillies
1  Oakiedokie Hanover (8-5) - Finished third to Jezzy.  Hers to loose.
2  Appomattox Lady (6-1) - Decent effort at Bufalo in NYSS.  Consider for exotics.
3  Imperatrix Hanover (10-1) - Lost fourteen lengths after break but still won by four in baby race.  Could be a monster if he minds her manners.
4  Refuse To Lose (3-1) - Decent baby races at the Meadowlands. 
5  Leah's Ex (20-1) - In deep.  Pass.
6  Birthday Bonus (20-1) - Don't see.
7  Sweet Possession (9-2) - NYSS winner at Buffalo shows decent lines at Meadows.  Threat despite post.
8  Graciously (15-1) -  Tough spot to get into race.
Selections: 1-7-2-3

My selections for the balance of the Tioga race card are as follows:

1st - Ghostly Delight, Lima Adore, Keep On Believin (5-7-4)
4th - My Taylor's Maid, Spectacular Cam, Nikoleta, RG Queensmagic (7-2-6-3)
6th - Ubetterthink Think, My True Delight, Penny Pincher (6-4-3)
7th - Huge Success N, Shady Matilda, Beyond Perfection, Little Pop Queen (1-9-2-4)
12th - Early Morning, Trishie Mae, Dontbreakmyheart, Canaco Piment (1-5-8-7)

Okay, this is not standardbred-related but have you ever had people accuse you of treating your horse like family?  Odds are, you don't treat your horse like this...

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