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Thursday, September 24, 2015

Harlequin Invitational Analysis

The field has been drawn and a rider change has been made for the inaugural Harlequin Invitational at Mohawk Racetrack this Saturday night.  The event has a purse of $10,000 and drew a full field of ten.

Here is my analysis of the race which goes as the second race on the evening's card.  Handicappers participating in HANA Harness' Grand Circuit Handicapping Challenge have also made some selections for the tilt.  Remember as most tracks and ADWs carry Mohawk Racetrack some Americans are getting their first chance to wager on the under saddle event.  A worthwhile puzzle to take a chance on.  Program pages are available here.

Saturday - Mohawk 2nd TROT - $10,000; Harlequin Invitational RUS

  1 - Cool Creek Valley (Smura, 15-1) - Shows two breaks in most recent RUS outings, including a lap-on-break on July 24 at Grand River Raceway.  Rider switched to #9.  Doesn't look like a winner but with racing luck may get into exotics.

  2 - Twin B Excalibur (Harms, 15-1) - Found his level in $4K claimers.  Sole RUS line on program at Sarnia was a non-threatening fourth.  Not one I can recommend.

  3 - Hidden Identity (Enberg, 3-1) - Made seasonal RUS debut at Hiawatha Horse Park on September 12 with a near miss.  Definite threat off confidence builder.

  4 - A Penny Earned (Reese, 6-1) - American invader racing in top class at Vernon Downs.  Considering dominating qualifiers, his last RUS start is a puzzler.  Must get away first to have a chance.  Can't ignore.

  5 - Santo Domingo (Masschaele, 5-2) - Gets the French master in the saddle.  However, didn't do much with Rekila, can this rider improve him enough to win?  Tossing at these odds.

  6 - Funny Photo (Engerran, 12-1) - Second American entrant broke in Sarnia debut but performs relatively well in the morning.  If horse can race flat, may be able to get into exotics.   

  7 - Wine Photo (Town, 7-1) - Just missed in 1:59.4 tilt at Georgian Downs and retains the services of rider with a URR of .500.  Has excuse in last two, this one may take it at a price..

  8 -  Broadway Prince (Werder, 8-1) - Werder returns to North America looking to rein in running habit of late under saddle.  Don't think rider change alone will reverse fortunes.

  9 -  Radical Dreamer (Valstad, 15-1) - Not finishing miles.  Needs slower pace but don't see it happening here.

10 - Ale Ale Jandro (Kennedy, 10-1) - Two solid efforts under saddle.  Draws the worst here but if others go jumping, son of Amigo Hall may be the one to pick up the pieces.  Use in exotics.

Selections: (7) WINE PHOTO - (3) - HIDDEN IDENTITY - (4) A PENNY EARNED - (10) - ALE ALE JANDRO 

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