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Thursday, April 20, 2017

Friday NightStakes/Road Trip - Fraser Downs

For tonight's inaugural edition of Friday Night Stakes/Road Trip, we go straight across the continent to Fraser Downs in Cloverdale, British Columbia, Canada for the Keith Linton Memorial.

You may be asking why would we do this?  Well, in British Columbia, this is the only unrestricted stakes race open to 3yo pacing colts and geldings the whole year and if we bring attention to racing off the beaten path, why not do it?  The purse is a healthy $75,000, no small change wherever you race.

Anyway, let's analyze the race and see if we can land us a winner.

Friday, April 21, 2017

9th Pace - Fraser Downs - $75,000; Keith Linton Memorial (3yo C&G) Final

1  American Dreamer (Kelly O Hoerdt, 4-1) - Horse started the year of at the Meadowlands where he qualified in 1:56.1 before being sent west.  Won a race at Northlands Park and Century Downs and finished second in his elimination.  Looks like he can improve with move to rail.  One of the main contenders and my pick.

2  Beer O Clock (John D Chappell, 5-1) - Finished 2nd in his elim.  Winner of 3 for 7 this year.  Best efforts have been on the engine so expect this one to try to wire the field.

3  Mateo (James J Burke, 6-1) - Another representative of Alberta, made season debut in his elimination and finished a credible third.  Will need to improve to factor in race.  I will pass.

4  Wonder Bull (J Brandon Campbell, 10-1) - Would be a huge shocker to do something here.  Pass.

5  Senga Nitro (Ryan Grundy, 7-2) - Winner of $74K in last five starts, including his elimination in 1:56.3, his seasonal debut.  Clearly the one to beat on paper.  My concern is most of his action has been in Alberta-restricted races.   Figures to try to track #6.  Will he bounce?  Could be.  Will take a stab elsewhere.

6  Da Magician (Serge Masse, 3-1) - Winner of his elimination in 1:56.2 but show a 1;53.4 victory in non-winners of 6 races lifetime.  Seemingly one dimensional front runner.  Logical favorite.  Can't fault.

7  Milbanks Bar (Rod Therres, 12-1) -  Well beaten fourth.  Another one to toss.

8  Mach Steady (Paul B Davies, 15-1) - Bad form, bad post.  Need I say more?

9  Bakardi Gold (Jim R Marino, 8-1) - Finished third to #6.  Draws poorly but has raced well of late.  Don't ignore in exotics as figures to land share.

10  Fanchastic (Scott L Knight, AE) - Lowest money earner in field.  Nothing to recommend.  If he scratches in, it would be a shocker for him to win.  A toss.

Selection: 1-6-2-5

1 comment:

Blaine said...

Change the month from August to April