Some of the
races for divisional honors are done deals at this point. Wiggle It Jiggleit,
who has earned more than $2 million; set world records for his class on half
and 5/8 tracks; won the Meadowlands Pace and Little Brown Jug; and come out on
top in 20 of 24 starts that stretch through almost the entire calendar year,
will win his division and be voted Horse Of The Year. He has one more start
scheduled, in the Progress Pace at Dover Downs on November 29.
Pinkman,
with wins in the Hambletonian, Kentucky Futurity and Canadian Trotting Classic,
will win the Dan Patch for sophomore trotting colts. The gelded son of
Explosive Matter has won 11 of 17 starts and earned more than $1.8 million for
Jimmy Takter. Pinkman will give the latter consecutive wins in this division.
Southwind
Frank will top the freshman trotting colts. He won 11 of 12 starts, including
the Breeders Crown and the Peter Haughton. He earned almost $800,000 and set a
world record of 1:52.2 in a split of the ISS at The Red Mile. That’s almost two
seconds slower than his paternal sister Mission Brief went last year, but
that’s OK.
Speaking of
Mission Brief, she’ll win the three-year-old trotting filly division on
brilliance alone. The three classic stakes for a sophomore trotting filly are
the Oaks, Kentucky Filly Futurity and Breeders Crown. Wild Honey took all of
them, and she has a bigger 2015 bankroll than the Muscle Hill Amazon, so on the
basis of her resume she should be on equal footing with Mission Brief, at the
very least. But life isn’t always fair, and brilliance sometimes trumps a season
of stellar accomplishments. Last Thursday’s eye popping world record 1:50.2 win
in the Matron by Mission Brief put her over the top. She also finished second
in the Hambletonian, and won the Elegantimage, Zweig Filly, and a split of the
Bluegrass. The public loves her and she will win the division, regardless of
the outcome of Saturday’s Continentalvictory.
Bee A
Magician, the 2013 Horse of the Year in the US and Canada, will be back on the
podium after an off year—for her—in 2014. She beat the boys in the Maple Leaf
Classic, Charlie Hill, Cutler and Centaur. She also triumphed over the mares in
the Armbro Flight. BAM is entered in the TVG Mare Trot on Friday. Regardless of
the outcome, she will be hoisting a Dan Patch.
Jimmy
Takter’s SBSW two-year-old filly, Pure Country, should win a competitive
contest for the Dan Patch with the Canadian based Bettor’s Delight filly, L A
Delight. The former is a perfect 10 for 10 while Bob McIntosh’s L A Delight has
experienced one loss in a dozen starts. Pure Country is almost $157,000 richer.
This one came down to the Breeders Crown, which the SBSW filly won handily. L A
Delight was not staked to it. Pure Country also won splits of the Bluegrass and
ISS at The Red Mile and the Pennsylvania Championship. L A Delight won the
Eternal Camnation, Great Lady and Champlain, as well as the OSS Super Final.
Figuring out
which freshman colt will take home a Dan Patch is much more difficult. If
Control The Moment (Well Said), who won the Metro and Nassagaweya, had taken
the Breeders Crown he would have ended the discussion, but he didn’t, and he
hasn’t come to the States for the Matron or the Governor’s Cup. The Rocknroll
colt Boston Red Rocks took the BC, but that’s about it. He is entered in
Saturday’s Governor’s Cup. Ron Burke’s Western Ideal colt Big Top Hanover won
the Matron, in addition to an ISS split in Lexington. A win on Saturday would
make him a strong candidate. If neither Big Top Hanover nor Boston Red Rocks
win the Governor’s Cup it may go by default to Control The Moment.
If the
Donato filly Broadway Donna had won the BC, the division would be hers. She
entered her elimination a perfect 9 for 9 with wins in the Doherty, Bluegrass
and PA Championship. But she failed to make the final, and is now at the mercy
of Jimmy Takter’s Muscle Hill filly, All The Time, who starts from the rail in
the upcoming Goldsmith Maid. She won the BC and will have $125,000 more on her
card than Donna if she wins on Friday. All The Time has won seven times and she
dominated in her recent starts.
No sophomore
pacing filly got even a single point in this week’s Top Ten Poll. The division
will probably be settled in the 1 1/8 mile Tarport Hap at The Meadowlands.
Divine Caroline, who starts from the seven for David Miller and Joe Holloway,
won the Breeders Crown, Garnsey and a split of the Bluegrass. She’s the richest
and fastest filly in that division. A win on Saturday should secure a Dan Patch
for her. Ron Burke’s Sassa Hanover, the winner of the Jugette and Adioo Volo,
is also entered in that race. Wrangler Magic won the Fan Hanover and Simcoe,
and Purrfect Bags took the Lady Maud and Lismore, but both checked out of the
division battle early. Also, the Courageous Lady is a week from Friday.
The aged
trotters are another difficult group in which to crown a leader: There is no
Sebastian K this year. Bee A Magician won several of the trotting stakes that
generally go to males. Papagayo E took the Yonkers International, while
Creatine, who only made a couple of NA starts, won the Breeders Crown. Il Sogno
Dream won the Allerage and the Dayton Trotting Derby. Is he the champ? JL Cruze
was an early season sensation, winning sixteen times. However, once the
four-year-old restricted races ended, he fell apart. His last win was four
months ago in the Hambletonian Maturity. None of the TVG Final winners would
become prime candidates with a win. No idea.
Anndrovette
won’t be winning the Dan Patch for aged pacing mares for a fifth consecutive
year. At least I don’t think she will. She has only three wins, with the Golden
Girls and Lady Liberty being two of them. But the latter was her last win and
that was more than three months ago. She scratched out of the BC. Venus
Delight, who won the Matchmaker, Artiscape and Milton, should take the division
with a win in Friday’s TVG Mare for Tim Tetrick. On the other hand, last year’s
three-year-old champ, Color’s A Virgin, has come alive at the right time with
wins in the Allerage Mare and Breeders Crown. A win in the TVG for David Miller
will secure another Dan Patch for her.
The race for
the Dan Patch in the older pacing division presents the voters with an
interesting dilemma. Throughout most of the season it was assumed that
six-year-old State Treasurer, who has nine wins and dominated that division for
most of the 2014 season, would win in a walk. But then along came Miki.
By the time
Always B Miki made his first start, in an Indiana Sire Stakes elimination on
October 3, State Treasure had already racked up wins in the Molson, Mohawk Gold Cup, William Haughton, the US
Pacing Championship, Roll With Joe, Canadian Pacing Derby and Dayton Pacing
Derby. All that before the four-year-old son of Always A Virgin made a single start.
That’s a very impressive seasonal resume.
Subsequent
to that, State Treasurer was a disappointing seventh in the Allerage Open,
after leading most of the mile. He then
faced Miki in a Breeders Crown elimination, won easily by the latter, with State
Treasurer finishing third, three lengths back. And the following week Miki took
the final in handy fashion in 1:49.3, with State Treasurer finishing sixth.
State
Treasurer called it a year after his Breeders Crown loss, while Miki went on to
win the American-National in 1:49.1 at Balmoral. Since he was not staked to the
TVG, that’s it for him in 2015.
This week’s Breeders
Crown Poll shows Always B Miki in sixth place with 147 points, while State Treasurer
is in twelfth with only 29 points. While some of the folks who vote in this
poll will also vote for the division champions, not all will. Still, we must
choose between five months of domination at the highest ranks of the aged
pacing tree and one month of brilliance at the tail end of the season. Does that
old saw “What have you done for me lately” rule the day? As unfair as it might
be, I believe Always B Miki will take home the Dan Patch.
Joe
FitzGerald
3 comments:
Always B Miki is the most talented aged pacer, BY FAR. But he doesn't have to body of work to be a deserving winner of a Patch. State Treasurer was a major winner in Canada, New York, New Jersey and Ohio. Wild Honey isn't nearly as fast as Mission Brief, but she won the 3 most prestigious races in her division. Divine Caroline consistently hit the board in a division lacking a dominant horse. Winning the BC 3YOFP clinched the award for her. Finally, I don't believe Southwind Frank made 17 starts during his 2yo campaign. Nice Rundown...
I'm predicting who will win here, and that will be Miki. He will also be voted HOY.
Wild Honey has been my candidate all along, but after Mission Brief redeemed herself with that big mile in the Matron, I don't think the little filly can beat her. If Wild Honey wins the Continentalvictory she would certainly be more deserving of the Dan Patch, but I still don't think she'd win the division. The public is in love with MB, and they don't seem to care much about WH. Will the writers see it differently? Maybe.
State Treasurer deserves to win that division, but I think it will probably be Miki who gets the Dan Patch, as unfair as that might be.
Divine Caroline should win her division.
If D'One stuck around and beat BAM in the TVG Mare, she'd be my choice in that division. Unfortunately she returned to Sweden. Even with a win in the TVG Mare, it would have been tough for her. BAM is bullet proof.
I screwed up on Southwind Frank's number of starts. Must have glanced at the wrong line and had a brain cramp. I'm doing a hundred pushups as punishment.
Again, I'm making predictions in this piece.
JF
These awards are something of a farce to begin with, but Miki is far less deserving than State Treasurer. State Treasurer's first 2015 stakes win was over the half mile track in the Molson back in May, and he continued to whack it out all season long over all size tracks, winning most of the FFA races until the end of the year. Can anyone imagine Miki withstanding the kind of schedule State Treasurer endured?
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