For photos from the Meadowlands contact Lisaphoto@playmeadowlands.com

Saturday, July 7, 2012

Beat the Favorites?

With today's Yonkers Trot and Meadowlands Pace eliminations, they figure to be low paying events.  However, upsets do occur, and while they are unlikely in these three tilts, let's see if we can come up with some longshots worthy of the risk betting against the heavy favorites.

Meadowlands Pace Elimination - 1st Division (Race 5)
Thanks to A Rocknroll Dance's  (3-1) performance in the Hempt Final at Pocono Downs, Sweet Lou has been given a morning line of 9-5.  The question is who has a decent chance at the top two?  There are two horses I like in this elimination race.  Allstar Legend (1A, Sears, 5-1) has been racing well, finishing second both in an elimination and final of the Hempt at Pocono Downs, finishing second to Rocknroll Dance.  Prior to those two efforts, he won at Philadelphia in a 1:48.2 mile in the PASS.  In his elimination of the North America Cup, the son of Four Starzzz Shark had no shot starting from the eight hold and being parked out.  Starting from post position four this week, he should give a good account of himself.

While I don't expect State Treasurer (5, D Miller, 10-1) to win this tilt, he may add some value to the trifecta and superfecta.  This Real Desire colt came from ninth sixteen lengths back at the quarter in his elimination of the North America Cup to finish fourth, only half a length of the elimination winner.  In the final, he finished fifth only three and a quarter lengths back in a :26.2 final quarter after being parked out a half mile, having to go three wide at the 3/4 pole.  With any type of racing luck, he may very well be in the exotics.

Meadowlands Pace Elimination - 2nd Division (Race 6)
North America Cup winner Thinking Out Loud (5-2) is obviously the favorite in this race, but I am not ready to coronate him the race winner.  Heston Blue Chip (2, Tetrick, 9-2) has been racing up a storm, winning all four races thus far this year, racing primarily in the NYSS.  Last year's Matron winner shows the colt can win against un-restricted company and with his :26.3 last quarter at Monticello Raceway in a NYSS event three back, shows he has a nice stretch kick.  I may very well use Heston Blue Chip in this race to take it all.

Yonkers Trot (Race 6)
This race is understandably limited to win wagering with Googoo Gaagaa (3-5) drawing the rail and Storm Normand (5-1) drawing the second post, you can understand why exacta wagering was cancelled.  That being said, Market Share (3, Gregory, 10-1) may be worth a look, only if he stays at or above 10-1.  Market Share won his elimination of the Goodtimes in 1:53,2 at Woodbine but in the final, was parked out half of the race, being forced go to three wide, closing to finish fifth a length off the leaders.  Returning to the half mile oval, Market Share may be worth a look.  .     

2 comments:

JLB said...

I disagree with you and question why exacta wagering was cancelled in the Yonkers Trot. Surely it cannot be a fear of a minus pool; if this were so, then barring wagering on the race favorite to win would be the logical move. It is almost impossible to create a minus pool in an exotic wager, and it surely would not happen here. In watching races for 45 years at tracks big and small, I can never remember seeing exacta wagering cancelled. What would be the rationale for cancelling it here?

Pacingguy said...

What other rationale could there be to have cancelled the Exacta? I don't see how it could have been a minus pool either, but apparently the track must have had some fear.

As it turns out, don't you wish there was exacta wagering offered? Bridge jumpers must be very relieved as well as they would have been jumping form the rough top.