The American-Nationals for three year old trotters are being contested Saturday night at Balmoral Park. While there is no Muscle Hill competing in the Am-Nat this year, these races are still significant in American trotting as there are still some top-caliber horses competing in these events.
In the filly event, there are a couple of interesting horses. Several of these horses came out of the Moni Maker at Lexington which was won by Christiana Hanover who shocked the field comng off suicidal fractions. Ultimate Cameron and Glide Power are two fillies who came out of that race and have a decent chance to win. There is a potential upset horse in the lightly raced Action-Broadway despite the ten hole this week. Coming off two qualifiers at Scioto Downs, this filly was earlier in the year able to hold her own against Poof Shes Gone and in her last PASS event, she finished right behind Christiana Hanover. With the right odds, I will go with this filly.
The colt event really is a race for the also rans. With Holiday Road in Canada and Lucky Chucky racing at Tioga on Sunday, the top colts are bypassing this race. Mystery Photo seems to have this race his to win or lose. The only other horse worth taking alook at is Primier Hanover who has been suffering from braking problems. In his last two Midwest starts it seems like they finally have figured what is wrong with this one. Saturday night may be one of their few changes to earn a big purse so expect them to see what this one can do.
My analysis of the two Balmoral events:
Balmoral Park - 4th Trot - $131,500; American-National - 3yo fillies
1 - Ultimeate Cameron (Tr. Tetrick, 3-1) - Faltered in the Moni Maker. Reasonable fractions here puts this filly in the thick of it.
2 - Glide Power (J. Johnson, 9-2) - Very impressive effort in last. Will be hoping for fast fractions this week.
3 - Springtime Volo (D. Magee, 7-2) - No chance in last. Will be a factor against these.
4 - Bramalea Hanover (M. Miller, 6-1) - Tried to steal it last time. Seems to be in tough here.
5 - Behindclosedoors (M.Oosting, 8-1) - Has been a fringe player all year. No reason to assume a change here.
6- Camtab It All (M. Johansson, 8-1) - Has been disappointing this year. Looking for a spark this week.
7 - Secret Magic (T. Warren, 10-1) - Decent effort in Lex overnight. Will need to step it up.
8 - Jesse's Messenger (R. Stahl, 12-1) - No shot from second tier last week. Needs a lot to go her way to be a factor.
9 - Levi's Lady (D. Minor, 20-1) - Meeting better from a bad post. Hardly ever a winning formula.
10- Action-Broadway (B. Miller, 12-1) - Filly been freshened up. Lightly raced horse has legitimate long shot potential.
Balmoral Park - 6th Trot - $150,000; American National - 3yo colts and geldings
1 - Big Sky Revenue (D. Hiteman, 12-1) - Best efforts have been against cheaper. Pass.
2 - Thro Time (M. Oosting, 8-1) - Was beaten by #1 in his last Balmoral start. Another pass.
3 - Coco Lindy (F. Antonacci, 5-1) - Winner of Colonial consolation gets class relief here. Should be competitive.
4 - Great Emancipator (B. Kramer, 6-1) - Ackerman trainee won a stakes race earlier here. A share of the purse is likely.
5 - Mystery Photo (M. Miller, 3-1) - Another horse which gets needed class relief. Just missed against Pilgrims Chuckie. The one to beat.
6 - Wishing Stone (D. Magee, 4-1) - Tossed in a clunkler last week at Chester. Aberation or tailing off?
7 - Run And Tell Pap (M. Cox, 15-1) - Miscue at Springfield eliminated any chance. Has been solid against state bred.
8 - Premier Hanover (B. Miller, 15-1) - Has found new life in the Midwest. Solved the problems? We will see.
9 - Powerful Speed (T. Warren, 10-1) - Finished second at Springfield. Tries open company here. A possibility.
10 - Sailaway Dream (Tr. Tetrick, 10-1) - Showed life at Freehold but draws the worst of it. Pass.
This weekend is also a big at Tioga Downs. Friday brings the New York Sire Stakes Late Closing events for two year old pacers, Saturday brings us the NYSS events for three year old pacing colts and Sunday gives us the Zweig Memorial for fillies and colt trotters featuring Lucky Chucky.
For those unfamiliar with the New York Sire Stakes program, there are basically three levels of races for NY sired horses. The NYSS are for the top level two and three year olds, the NY Late Closing events are for those horses that are not ready for prime time, and the NYCF races are for horses who are still early in their career trying to learn what it takes to be a good race horse. Friday night you will see plenty of horses coming in from the county fairs trying to see if they can take the next step up. What is particularly challenging about handicapping these races is the county fairs do not chart their races so there is no way to really tell how they performed. The tote board may be your best gauge of these fair horses.
A look ahead indicates there will be some good racing at Vernon Downs this coming week. The third leg of the Miss Versatility series for older trotting mares will be raced at Vernon Downs on Thursday, September 2nd . To be eligible to the $100,000E final on Jug day at Delaware, mares must make a minimum of two starts in the series. With only four trotters racing last weekend at Tioga Downs, there is a reasonable chance for more trotting mares shipping in to Vernon in order to be eligible for the final at the Delaware County Fair. In addition, the Thursday night card will feature the New York Sires Stakes for 2YO colt trotters and New York Late Closer for 3YO trotting colts.
Here is my analysis of Friday and Saturday's Tioga Program. Sunday's selections will be posted later in the weekend.
Tioga Downs, Friday evening, August 27
1st - River Of Hope, I Gotta Run, EJs Lady Di (3-8-2)
2nd - Looney Dune, Fillomay, Sakra's Mo (3-4-7)
3rd - Brooklyn, Swing Anna Cash, Birthday Bonus (5-7-4)
4th - Tempting Terror, Haze's Zure Bete, Excited Ideal, Diana Blue Chip (7-5-1-4)
5th - All About Kisses, Block Party, Sinspirational (3-1-5)
6th - Distinct Victory, KM Sweet Dreams, Ashcos Scotty (3-8-7)
7th - Forty Three, Winspirational, Ms Graywalls, Arts Beach Babe (5-8-3-7)
8th - Kendall Blue, Expensive Taste, EJs Dream Shadow (2-1-6)
9th - Keystone Rumor, Park Lane Heather, Beforethedaystarts (8-3-6)
10th - Throwdown, Kyrah Can, Artesa (2-1-4)
11th - Jaguar, Stars And Sites, Marquee T (6-9-1)
12th - JK Geronimo, Wizzard Queen, Site To See (6-9-4)
13th - Bar None, Chautauqua Jam, Saskia Lavictoire, Our Special Girl (4-8-9-5)
Tioga Downs, Saturday evening, August 28
1st - Neverhitthebrakes, Gimme A Good One, Puzzlement (2-1-4)
2nd - Day And Night, Canaco Piment, Armbro Bracken (2-3-7)
3rd - Jimmie Hanover, Jo Pa's Fod, Capital Blue Chip (4-2-5)
4th - Sin To Win, Earlivic, Feel The Rush, Two Black Clouds (3-1-2-9)
5th - Bille Bella Chick, Thea's Cam, Jovial Charm (1-2-6)
6th - He's Gorgeous, Forty Carrots, Triple Major (8-7-5)
7th - Radiant Hall, Little Pop Queen, Silverdollar Shark, Libby's Girl (2-9-7-4)
8th - Presitigiousvictory, Smarty Marty Z, Paulie Ma Guire (6-1-5)
9th - Joey The Czar, Flexjet, Erichs Best (5-1-3)
10th - Lucy Lucy, Clear Character, Semjac Legacy (5-2-6)
11th - Focus On The Rail, Four Starz Motor, Just Listed (7-1-5)
12th - Gaje, Briawood Rexx, Perfect Dreamer, Basso Hanover (4-3-5-8)